The ouster of ‘Union pour un Mouvement Populaire’ at the hands of the ‘Socialist Party’
has caused quite a stir, not only in France but throughout Europe. This new
development within France has many repercussions on various people and issues.
However, without getting into the political, economic, social etc. implications
of the electoral results, I am tempted to draw comparisons between the current
situation in France and the situation way back in 1789.
“Why a blog post on this topic?” one might
ask. And my simplistic answer is: being a History student, I have had many
opportunities to study different aspects of the French society over the years. Additionally,
having a parent who is as interested in the subject helped. There was a time (during
my formal days of education) when every weekend my father and I would sit and
recapitulate whatever I had learnt during the week. History, being a common subject
of interest, was always given extra time. During this time, the events leading
up to and the aftermath of the French Revolution were often discussed. So, when
the French election results were out, the first thought that came to mind was,
“Oh, this sounds so similar to what happened in France in 1789.”
The French
Revolution between 1789 and 1799 saw the overthrow of the French Monarchy as a
result of a radical and social upheaval throughout France. The Monarchy’s
isolation and indifference towards hardships of the common man led to the fall
of the Ancien Regime. The situation
in France until May 6, 2012 was similar. Nikolas Sarkozy, or the ‘Bling Bling
President’, as he was popularly known, was unceremoniously wiped off the menu
by the Socialist candidate, François Hollande, to become the second
Socialist President of modern France.
Before further
discussion, it is important to list down the origins of the French Revolution,
as is necessary to explore Sarkozy’s Presidency and what led to his rout.
Origins of the
French Revolution:
- Struggle for hegemony and the Empire outstripped the fiscal resources of the state
- Conflict between the Monarchy and the nobility over the “reform” of the tax system resulted in paralysis and bankruptcy
- Owing to the period of Enlightenment, impulse for reform intensified political conflicts and reinforced traditional aristocratic constitutionalism. New notions of good government were introduced, popular sovereignty being the most radical. Public opinion was now of significance.
- Social antagonisms between the aristocracy and the bourgeoisie
- Ineffective monarchy at the hands of Louis XVI
- Economic hardship, especially the agrarian crisis of 1788-89 generated popular discontent and disorder, caused by food shortages.
Nikolas Sarkozy served as the French
President from 2007 to 2012. Sarkozy was elected President at the height of the
global economic meltdown of late 2000s, which gave rise to a subsequent
financial crisis and debt deficit. Sarkozy served as the President of the
European Union during the last few months of 2008 and as President of a member
country of the G8 and G20, Sarkozy was involved in international debates and
propositions to curb the global financial crisis. The crisis had severe
economic and social consequences in France. This resulted in Sarkozy having to
renounce the reduction of public deficit, and instead launch a stimulus plan
(as part of the 2008 EU Stimulus Plan), in order to control growing social
discontent. Sarkozy’s promise, during his Presidential campaign, to reach full
employment and boost economic growth, remained but a mere promise. French
involvement, especially Sarkozy’s interest, in the events of the ‘Arab Spring’
(late 2010) did not go down well with the French public. Sarkozy’s vibrant
personal life, demanding constant media attention, didn’t make matters easy.
Adding to his list of woes, when Sarkozy was defeated on May 6, 2012, he became
the first French President since 1981 to not be re-elected. This is proof
enough of public distrust towards his presidency.
The last Queen of France, Mary
Antoinette’s famous words, "Let them eat brioche", could just as well
have been Sarkozy’s words during his term as President. It is visible Sarkozy
led a very extravagant life, in spite of record unemployment throughout France.
Resemblance with the monarchy’s attitude pre-1789 is uncanny. Sarkozy tried to
spend France’s way out of trouble, however, this landed him in further trouble.
Although François Hollande
is no Napoleon Bonaparte, all eyes are
currently on him to transform the French society the way Napoleon did as a
result of the French Revolution. It will be interesting to see how Hollande
makes use of the opportunity to reiterate the famous motto, ‘Liberty, Equality,
Fraternity’, which was highlighted during presidential campaign. Hollande too
has promised to create new jobs, as many as 60,000 in schools and universities.
It will be some time before a new revolution can be brought about by a
non-revolutionary.
During the events of the French
Revolution, William Wordsworth penned down the following words,
“Bliss was it in that dawn to be alive,
But to be young was very Heaven”.
- The Prelude, Residence in France (Concluded), 1850
If Hollande succeeds in fulfilling all his promises and manages to bring France out of its economic as well as social misery,
Wordsworth’s words can gain more significance.
I cannot help but add the picture below...
Picture Courtesy: http://www.thesun.co.uk
First of all -Congratulations, excellent article.. u should be writing professionally!
ReplyDeleteNow, if i remember correctly the French revolution also set a precedence which led to similar revolutions in other nations .. so if one can extrapolate the resemblance -is capitalism on its way out?
Thanks Ashu! You ask a very valid question... Need to ponder on this... Abolee
ReplyDeleteComment from the father: "Abolee...You bring out a very interesting connection between 'now' and 'then'. Good one! I enjoyed reading it...Cheers...Baba"
ReplyDeleteAbs...a very well thought out article.
ReplyDeleteJust wonder whether such a straightforward comparison applies to the "then" & "now". Firstly, "then" - power was concentrated in the hands of a privileged few as was wealth. The France of "now" is self evidently different as is the global economic situation. Hence, pillorying Sarkozy's flamboyance & OTT lifestyle might be disingenuous to some degree.
Generally, the "incumbancy factor" (not applicable in the French Presidential elections for the candidate but applicable to the party he/she represents) kicks in when a government is in its second term. This will change. My personal opinion is that across the world democracies are going to be facing a rapid turnover in governments not because of individual inadequacies but because the problems are so big that no one can hope to come to grips with them, whatever their method of tackling them. This is regardless of the turnout at election time which was amply demonstrated in France (large - 80%) as well as the recently completed council elections in England (low -30%). Here, in the UK the opposition won 500+ additional council seats. Will that be reflected in the general elections in 3 years...well, watch this space. However, the above figures do say something about a "surge" factor or rather the lack of it.
Having said that, I applaud the refreshing manner in which you have attempted to analyse the situation.
Just to tickle your grey cells....do you feel that India is heading towards a scenario not unlike the French Revolution in the not too distant future?
Thanks for your encouraging words NK!
DeleteYou have successfully managed to tickle my grey cells.. I need to do some in depth reading on India's France-like situation...