Tuesday, 28 June 2016

Brexit – moment of caution for millennials!

The recent referendum where the United Kingdom voted to ‘Leave’ the 28 member European Union has sparked off debate all over the world, leaving people divided in their views on the repercussions of the vote on world economy. With a surge in public fear of immigration, the referendum was a close call with 51.9% in favour of Britain’s exit, or more popularly known as Brexit. This means an entire country’s future was determined by a difference of less than 4 percentage points, completely changing life of the 100% of the people who live in it. The referendum has exposed something approaching an intergenerational war of ideas – an issue that requires urgent attention.

As results of the referendum were still coming in, the British economy plummeted to a 31-year low, in turn showing its effects on other world economies. The vote also resulted in the British Prime Minister, David Cameron stepping down. David Cameron had fought hard for the United Kingdom to remain within the European Union, however, his long drawn battle came to an end on 24th June, 2016. 

Traditionally, middle class baby boomers have been the ones to vote because of a sense of civic duty and because they have seen voting as the right thing to do. However, studies from the recent referendum have shown that a majority of those who voted for the United Kingdom’s exit, were older, white, working class Britons – 60% of who were in the 65+ age group, while 75% of Britons in the age group of 18-24 voted for the country to stay within the European Union.

A number of young Britons took to social media to voice their disapproval of the results – a future unacceptable to the younger generation, decided by a generation whose vast majority of people won’t be alive long enough. A common reasoning doing the rounds is that the world has moved in a way the older, working class people with no education is not comfortable with and does not consent to and this was their way of showing their displeasure towards the government.

With the results going in favour of the United Kingdom leaving the European Union, sentiments of Xenophobia and ‘Euroskeptism’ are prevalent. By keeping migrants out and the British in, the United Kingdom is clearly heading towards crushing the future generations’ freedom to live, work, travel and study in 27 other countries. While the rest of the world is talking about mobility and globalisation, the result of this referendum will only limit mobility and could also hamper the youths’ contribution towards global issues and making connections with other cultures, which in turn can lead to anti-intellectualism. Millennials understand diversity fosters innovation and economic progress, therefore, they realised the significance of staying within the European Union, however, the result of the referendum will leave little scope for that.      

Once the United Kingdom officially exits the European Union, tuition fees are likely to increase drastically. With the current fee structure being the same for British and other European Union students, students from other European Union member countries are in large numbers in the United Kingdom. If fees for European Union students go up, universities in the United Kingdom will see a significant drop in enrolment, making education more expensive for local British students.    

According to Grant Woodward, a Yorkshire Post columnist, “Brexit will come to be seen as the Baby Boomers’ ultimate betrayal of younger generations and those that will follow. A knee-jerk response to a series of red herrings, a protest vote with the potential for long-term catastrophe that they won’t be around to endure”

After the United Kingdom exits the European Union, there is fear of Scotland and Northern Ireland wanting to leave the United Kingdom in order to stay within the European Union. This could result in the British economy suffering another blow – a case of united we fall, divided we fall down further?

The next big event that will have a significant effect on world politics is the Presidential election in the United States of America later this year. The run up to the election is being widely covered by international media, with there being 2 very distinct camps set up. With the recent British referendum resulting in huge outrage amongst the youth, this is a shout out to millennials in other parts of the world to get up and vote for their nations. In today’s globalised and technologically advanced world, the millennials are very politically aware and have well rounded opinions about world politics, however, when it came to voting, the older generation beat them to it. If the results of the British referendum are not taken seriously, young Americans are at risk of treading the same path of allowing someone else to determine their future. As opposed to the youths’ participation in the British referendum, the 2014 Lok Sabha elections in India saw several first time Generation Y voters. A growing discontent amongst the youth was a major reason for people to step out and vote for change. The United States of America is facing a similar situation where citizens need a fundamental change in leadership that comes in with fresh ideas.

With education and worldly knowledge to reckon with, millennials are well poised to decide on their future, albeit by stepping out and casting their vote. If, like in the British referendum, the youth fails to go out in large numbers, they will end up being reluctant heirs of a nation they did not envision. 

13 comments:

  1. Well written Abolee. I hear a new phenomenon emerging : de-globalization. Brexit seems to suggest its presence too. Ruchir's new book also has some of it covered. It will be nice to get your thougts on it in ensuing blogs. Hearty congrats for another well written blog.

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    1. Thanks, Daddy! I will check out Ruchir's book. I am told even Narendra Modi spoke about this during his recent interview with Arnab Goswami...

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  2. Bery well written and informative. A warning for things to come if we dont think about the world as a whole and not as a country. A write up by santosh desai in TOI dated 27 june is worth reading. Great work. Keep it up.

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    1. Thanks so much, Reina Aunty. I will get my hands on Santosh Desai's article. Would love to discuss it with you.

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  3. Bery well written and informative. A warning for things to come if we dont think about the world as a whole and not as a country. A write up by santosh desai in TOI dated 27 june is worth reading. Great work. Keep it up.

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  4. Well versed Abolee. While going thru' few articles, write-ups & recent news, I have a feeling that "Divide & Rule" thoughts are finally going to be boom-ranged. Just wait n watch.
    Regards
    Shrikant Phansalkar

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    1. Hi Shrikant Kaka,
      Thanks so much for reading the post. Hasn't the 'Divide and Rule' policy always been around? It's just gaining prominence again.

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  5. Nice and good article.
    Two points need clarifications.
    Has Demoraccy failed!! Or won..!! Or we have not understood. !!
    Wherein nonstate actors dictate terms without vision!! By just casting votes.
    Same is the case in our country. Do u agree. But who decides who is right or wrong.
    100 % vote casting is mandatory. If not voted accordingly then the votes polled should be treated as null and void. If % of votes not voted with some minimum. Then the votes to be deemed to be accounted as per the govt in power. ( as grace marks r given by exam boards!) Debate required.

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    1. Very well said .. bravo..

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    2. Thank you, Baba!
      In this case, Democracy is misunderstood. Non-state actors have obviously voted for personal reasons.The question that needs answering is - Is a referendum like this a good idea to decide on the fate of a nation?

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  6. United we rise..divided we fall? - Really??

    EU is a political union which is dominating the private affairs of many nations. EU people are govt. people not elected by any people, never created any jobs and get to decide policy?
    I think there is a German tactic, to make EU a economic muscle where only Germany has the maximum influence over other countries private affairs since it is contributing the maximum.

    Some important facts

    In 2015 the UK government paid £13 billion to the EU budget, and EU spending on the UK was £4.5 billion. So the UK’s ‘net contribution’ was estimated at about £8.5 billion.
    UK’s membership fee is £55 million a day. UK has spent £380 billion cost since joining the EU or £9 billion a year.
    You need to see a graph and ask why should UK bail out poor countries like Greece, Romania, Poland etc?
    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/newstopics/eureferendum/12176663/EU-Facts-how-much-does-Britain-pay-to-the-EU-budget.html

    The article makes an implicit assumption that Millennials are robbed of their great future, but then the debate should be weather EU is really good for Millennials future?

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    1. Thanks, Gaurav!
      If the EU is such a bad idea, why aren't other nations looking to get out? I agree its policies are not always in everyone's favour, but will getting out of the EU really help nations?
      The intent behind this post is not to argue whether Brexit is a good idea or not or whether the decision has gone against the millennials. It is an appeal to them to vote for their future.

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  7. Good Blog Abs!
    To add my 2cents or I should say Pennies on the topic... looking at the stats of Stay Vs Leave by region, and if further broken down by age , it is pretty evident that Millennial population in Scotland and Northern Ireland voted in good numbers as compared to their age-mates in England . It makes me wonder about 1) What was preached about EU and the referendum in the United Kingdom? 2) How was it preached in Scotland and Northern Ireland as compared to England ?
    3) why did millennials come out and vote in larger numbers in Scotland and Ireland and that too in favor of Staying?
    4) Along with that it also raises questions regarding what equips people better to make correct choice ....to be well informed or to be well educated? (e.g. " what is EU?" was the most Googled term from United Kingdom AFTER the results of the referendum)

    Let's see how it all works out..:)

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